Buffalo vs Bowling Green 11/23/2012

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Bowling Green is a solid favorite with a 63% chance to beat Buffalo. Anthon Samuel is projected for 96 rushing yards and a 64% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 37% of simulations where Buffalo wins, Alex Zordich averages 1.54 TD passes vs 0.93 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.81 TDs to 1.24 interceptions. Branden Oliver averages 71 rushing yards and 0.68 rushing TDs when Buffalo wins and 62 yards and 0.41 TDs in losses. Bowling Green has a 38% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 72% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is BG -9
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